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Friday, August 22, 2025

Real Estate & Construction: Reading the Cycles

 


Multiple markets, multiple cycles

“Chicago real estate” is really several markets: downtown office, neighborhood retail, industrial/distribution, lab and medical, and a wide spectrum of housing types. Each segment responds to different forces. Logistics space tracks freight; office leasing follows hybrid work patterns; mixed-use near transit leans on foot traffic and amenities. Reading the metro means watching each segment on its own terms.

Adaptive reuse and infill

Developers increasingly transform underused buildings into housing, labs, or creative offices. These projects can preserve character, reduce waste, and deliver space faster than ground-up builds. In neighborhoods, small infill on vacant lots can stabilize a block and support local retail without dramatic scale.

Risk management

Interest rates, construction costs, and permitting timelines shape pro formas. Strong projects budget for contingencies, phase infrastructure, and design flexible ground floors that can shift between retail, service, or community uses as demand evolves.

Outlook

Expect steady demand for well-located industrial and for housing near reliable transit. Office will continue to reshape; the winners will offer great light, healthy air systems, and amenities that make commuting worthwhile.


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